VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.

Portfolio #79 Competition C83 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED

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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260625

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short

Submitted: 2026-06-24 23:00:02

Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01

Final Rank

Rank reflects relative competition performance.

Final Score

3.4595%

Engine Status

LIVE

Payout

No payout recorded

Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime

Bear

Macro Regime

Not recorded

Breadth

Not recorded

Confidence

Very High

Expected Alpha

0.838

Optimizer

0.838

Portfolio Quality

0.911

Portfolio Risk

0.702

Balance

1.000

Diversification

1.000

Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory

Not recorded

Memory Adjustment

Not recorded

Expected Alpha

0.838148

Correlation Score

0.194400

Correlation Penalty

0.000000

Final Optimizer Score

0.838148

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family

Hedge Fund Engine

Engine Version

v4.7

Engine Build

2026.06.16

Engine Mode

Long/Short Expected Alpha

Generated

2026-06-24 23:00:01

Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.

3 picks

LONG JTO Decision #1

Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

0.705

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

Not recorded

Exhaustion Penalty

Not recorded

After Exhaustion

Not recorded

Crash Guard Penalty

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

0.704847

LONG Candidate Blocked

Not recorded

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: 99

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

Not recorded for this engine generation.

Negative Evidence

No negative factors recorded.

Momentum 70%

Trend 72%

Liquidity 100%

Market Quality 48%

Risk Control 64%

Relative Strength 57%

Trend Acceleration 92%

Sector Rotation —

Sector Strength —

Supply Quality 49%

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

LONG DEXE Decision #2

Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

0.652

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

Not recorded

Exhaustion Penalty

Not recorded

After Exhaustion

Not recorded

Crash Guard Penalty

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

0.652212

LONG Candidate Blocked

Not recorded

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: 97

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

Not recorded for this engine generation.

Negative Evidence

! Low liquidity

Momentum 89%

Trend 86%

Liquidity 20%

Market Quality 52%

Risk Control 65%

Relative Strength 80%

Trend Acceleration 27%

Sector Rotation —

Sector Strength —

Supply Quality 87%

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

SHORT ADA Decision #3

Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

0.731

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)

Raw SHORT Score

Not recorded

Rebound Penalty

Not recorded

After Rebound

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

0.730580

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: 99

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

Not recorded for this engine generation.

Negative Evidence

! Weak momentum

! Weak trend

Momentum 30%

Trend 29%

Liquidity 100%

Market Quality 93%

Risk Control 82%

Relative Strength 31%

Trend Acceleration 100%

Sector Rotation —

Sector Strength —

Supply Quality 81%

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.

No factor audit was recorded for this engine generation.

Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.

JTO · LONG WIN

Primary Cause: Winning Setup

Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified

Position Return: +2.3423%

Attribution Confidence: 35%

DEXE · LONG WIN

Primary Cause: Winning Setup

Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified

Position Return: +5.1271%

Attribution Confidence: 35%

ADA · SHORT WIN

Primary Cause: Winning Setup

Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified

Position Return: +2.9091%

Attribution Confidence: 35%

Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.