VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #81 Competition C84 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED
← Previous Report Latest Report Next Report → Browse Research Library Back to VADIE Profile
Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260626

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-06-25 23:00:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-2.6318%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Bear
Macro Regime
Not recorded
Breadth
Not recorded
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.844
Optimizer
0.844
Portfolio Quality
0.941
Portfolio Risk
0.803
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.844182
Correlation Score
0.246525
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.844182

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Hedge Fund Engine
Engine Version
v4.7
Engine Build
2026.06.16
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-06-25 23:00:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG DEXE Decision #1
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.702
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.701807
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
! Low liquidity
Momentum 95%
Trend 90%
Liquidity 19%
Market Quality 52%
Risk Control 69%
Relative Strength 87%
Trend Acceleration 52%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG CAKE Decision #2
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.651
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.650858
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 96
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 48%
Trend 47%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 76%
Risk Control 90%
Relative Strength 48%
Trend Acceleration 91%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT ADA Decision #3
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.716
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.716320
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 30%
Trend 29%
Liquidity 91%
Market Quality 91%
Risk Control 82%
Relative Strength 31%
Trend Acceleration 100%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
No factor audit was recorded for this engine generation.
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
DEXE · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -6.1007%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
CAKE · LONG WIN
Primary Cause: Winning Setup
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: +1.5841%
Attribution Confidence: 35%
ADA · SHORT LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -3.3788%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.