VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.

Portfolio #209 Competition C180 Portfolio Engine v5.6.0 SETTLED

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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260916

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short

Submitted: 2026-09-14 00:05:02

Scored: 2026-09-17 00:10:01

Final Rank

Rank reflects relative competition performance.

Final Score

0.6632%

Engine Status

LIVE

Payout

No payout recorded

Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime

Bull

Macro Regime

Neutral

Breadth

Neutral

Confidence

High

Expected Alpha

0.799

Optimizer

0.799

Portfolio Quality

0.937

Portfolio Risk

0.789

Balance

1.000

Diversification

1.000

Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory

0.805774

Memory Adjustment

-0.006667

Expected Alpha

0.799108

Correlation Score

0.384750

Correlation Penalty

0.000000

Final Optimizer Score

0.799108

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family

Adaptive Decision Intelligence™

Engine Version

v5.6.0

Engine Build

2026.07.25

Engine Mode

Long/Short Expected Alpha

Generated

2026-09-14 00:05:02

Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.

3 picks

LONG UNI Decision #1

Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low

Decision Score

0.697

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

0.696698

Exhaustion Penalty

0.000000

After Exhaustion

0.696698

Crash Guard Penalty

0.000000

Final Selection Score

0.696698

LONG Candidate Blocked

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: 98

Confidence Cap: 90

Final Confidence Index: 90

Calibration Samples: 45

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor	Weight	Input	Effective	Contribution
Momentum	0.320507	0.750407	0.750407	0.233295482
Trend	0.206040	0.654787	0.654787	0.130865140
Liquidity	0.136216	0.685989	0.685989	0.090639089
Market Quality	0.076281	0.822384	0.822384	0.060850067
Risk Control	0.070178	0.730864	0.730864	0.049752030
Rank	0.057233	0.823529	0.823529	0.045719379
Relative Strength	0.057233	0.662521	0.662521	0.036780792
Trend Acceleration	0.076311	0.508000	0.508000	0.037603119

Factor Total: 0.685505098

Macro Contribution: 0.011193150

Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.696698

Historical Raw Score: 0.696698

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence

✓ Strong momentum

✓ High market quality

✓ Controlled risk

✓ Positive sector tags

Negative Evidence

No negative factors recorded.

Momentum 75%

Trend 65%

Liquidity 69%

Market Quality 82%

Risk Control 73%

Relative Strength 66%

Trend Acceleration 51%

Sector Rotation 53%

Sector Strength 42%

Supply Quality 70%

Mean Reversion Risk 31%

Momentum Exhaustion 44%

LONG INJ Decision #2

Sector: Layer1 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low

Decision Score

0.689

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

0.688709

Exhaustion Penalty

0.000000

After Exhaustion

0.688709

Crash Guard Penalty

0.000000

Final Selection Score

0.688709

LONG Candidate Blocked

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: 98

Confidence Cap: 90

Final Confidence Index: 90

Calibration Samples: 45

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor	Weight	Input	Effective	Contribution
Momentum	0.320507	0.636701	0.636701	0.197945204
Trend	0.206040	0.622514	0.622514	0.124415087
Liquidity	0.136216	1.000000	1.000000	0.132129071
Market Quality	0.076281	0.687826	0.687826	0.050893814
Risk Control	0.070178	0.896749	0.896749	0.061044303
Rank	0.057233	0.361345	0.361345	0.020060579
Relative Strength	0.057233	0.660314	0.660314	0.036658267
Trend Acceleration	0.076311	0.734500	0.734500	0.054369077

Factor Total: 0.677515402

Macro Contribution: 0.011193150

Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.688709

Historical Raw Score: 0.688709

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence

✓ High liquidity

✓ Controlled risk

✓ Positive sector tags

Negative Evidence

No negative factors recorded.

Momentum 64%

Trend 62%

Liquidity 100%

Market Quality 69%

Risk Control 90%

Relative Strength 66%

Trend Acceleration 73%

Sector Rotation 53%

Sector Strength 43%

Supply Quality 100%

Mean Reversion Risk 33%

Momentum Exhaustion 42%

SHORT BONK Decision #3

Sector: Layer2 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low

Decision Score

0.581

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)

Raw SHORT Score

0.580905

Rebound Penalty

0.000000

After Rebound

0.580905

Final Selection Score

0.580905

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: 98

Confidence Cap: 90

Final Confidence Index: 90

Calibration Samples: 45

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor	Weight	Input	Effective	Contribution
Momentum (inverted)	0.320507	0.397394	0.602606	0.193139529
Trend (inverted)	0.206040	0.372202	0.627798	0.129351693
Liquidity	0.136216	0.855332	0.855332	0.116509508
Market Quality	0.076281	0.556506	0.556506	0.042450668
Risk Control	0.070178	0.738930	0.738930	0.051856810
Rank	0.057233	0.025210	0.025210	0.001442854
Relative Strength (inverted)	0.057233	0.421586	0.578414	0.033104611
Trend Acceleration (inverted)	0.076311	0.829000	0.171000	0.013049220

Factor Total: 0.580904893

Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.580905

Historical Raw Score: 0.580905

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence

✓ High liquidity

✓ Controlled risk

✓ Positive sector tags

Negative Evidence

! Risk sector tags

Momentum 40%

Trend 37%

Liquidity 86%

Market Quality 56%

Risk Control 74%

Relative Strength 42%

Trend Acceleration 83%

Sector Rotation 96%

Sector Strength 100%

Supply Quality 99%

Mean Reversion Risk 26%

Momentum Exhaustion 27%

Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.

Factor	Average	Range	Weight	Records
Breadth	0.443	0.443 – 0.443	1.0000	3
Btc Relative Strength	0.457	0.305 – 0.698	1.0000	3
Depth	0.651	0.397 – 0.995	1.0000	3
Eth Relative Strength	0.422	0.269 – 0.663	1.0000	3
Extension	0.007	0.000 – 0.022	1.0000	3
Liquidity	0.847	0.686 – 1.000	1.0200	3
Macro Btc Dominance	0.688	0.688 – 0.688	1.0000	3
Macro Eth Dominance	0.254	0.254 – 0.254	1.0000	3
Macro Fear Greed	0.000	0.000 – 0.000	1.0000	3
Market Quality	0.689	0.557 – 0.822	0.9996	3
Mean Reversion Risk	0.304	0.265 – 0.334	1.0000	3
Momentum	0.595	0.397 – 0.750	1.0000	3
Momentum Exhaustion	0.378	0.273 – 0.437	1.0000	3
Pump Risk	0.200	0.200 – 0.200	1.0000	3
Rank	0.403	0.025 – 0.824	1.0000	3
Relative Strength	0.581	0.422 – 0.663	1.0000	3
Risk Control	0.789	0.731 – 0.897	0.9996	3
Sector Rotation	0.673	0.530 – 0.956	1.0000	3
Sector Strength	0.614	0.415 – 1.000	1.0000	3
Supply Quality	0.896	0.699 – 1.000	1.0200	3
Trend	0.550	0.372 – 0.655	1.0000	3
Trend Acceleration	0.691	0.508 – 0.829	1.0000	3

Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.

No attribution record available for this engine generation.

Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.