VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #145 Competition C117 Portfolio Engine v5.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260724

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-07-22 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-39.9741%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.854
Optimizer
0.854
Portfolio Quality
0.900
Portfolio Risk
0.667
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.854194
Correlation Score
0.271492
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.854194

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Quant Engine
Engine Version
v5.0
Engine Build
2026.07.04
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-07-22 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG ONDO Decision #1
Sector: Rwa · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.733
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.733027
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Strong trend
✓ High liquidity
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 73%
Trend 74%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 65%
Risk Control 55%
Relative Strength 76%
Trend Acceleration 67%
Sector Rotation 38%
Sector Strength 40%
Supply Quality 49%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG AAVE Decision #2
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.694
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.693802
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 59%
Trend 59%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 86%
Risk Control 87%
Relative Strength 61%
Trend Acceleration 70%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 96%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT DEXE Decision #3
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.893
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.892976
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 0%
Trend 2%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 61%
Risk Control 58%
Relative Strength 0%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.411 0.000 – 0.803 1.0000 3
Depth 0.434 0.123 – 0.886 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.414 0.000 – 0.807 1.0000 3
Liquidity 1.000 1.000 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.691 0.691 – 0.691 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.184 0.184 – 0.184 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.708 0.613 – 0.863 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.441 0.000 – 0.729 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.571 0.361 – 0.714 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.457 0.000 – 0.765 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.667 0.550 – 0.868 1.0000 3
Sector Rotation 0.523 0.380 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.461 0.397 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.773 0.487 – 0.964 1.0000 3
Trend 0.449 0.022 – 0.738 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.456 0.000 – 0.695 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.