VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #71 Competition C73 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260617

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-06-16 23:00:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-4.9782%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Not recorded
Breadth
Not recorded
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.859
Optimizer
0.859
Portfolio Quality
0.916
Portfolio Risk
0.719
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.859377
Correlation Score
0.176200
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.859377

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Hedge Fund Engine
Engine Version
v4.7
Engine Build
2026.06.16
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-06-16 23:00:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG JTO Decision #1
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.809
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.808869
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 100%
Trend 89%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 49%
Risk Control 48%
Relative Strength 97%
Trend Acceleration 54%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 49%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG ZEC Decision #2
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.765
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.764934
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 97
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 63%
Trend 69%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 82%
Risk Control 81%
Relative Strength 54%
Trend Acceleration 100%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 80%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT BCH Decision #3
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.674
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.674112
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 35%
Trend 33%
Liquidity 57%
Market Quality 79%
Risk Control 87%
Relative Strength 40%
Trend Acceleration 41%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 95%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
No factor audit was recorded for this engine generation.
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
JTO · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -13.1706%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
ZEC · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -5.1820%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
BCH · SHORT WIN
Primary Cause: Winning Setup
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: +3.4181%
Attribution Confidence: 35%
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.