VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #70 Competition C55 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Monthly Top Picks #2026-08

Strategy: cmc_v4_monthly_long_short
Submitted: 2026-06-10 04:21:12
Scored: 2026-09-01 00:15:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
2.5941%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Not recorded
Breadth
Not recorded
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.859
Optimizer
0.859
Portfolio Quality
0.952
Portfolio Risk
0.839
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.858779
Correlation Score
0.488350
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.858779

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Hedge Fund Engine
Engine Version
v4.7
Engine Build
2026.06.16
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-06-16 03:32:10
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG NEAR Decision #1
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.798
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.797516
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 80%
Trend 80%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 82%
Risk Control 80%
Relative Strength 78%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 100%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG LTC Decision #2
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.718
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.718443
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 97
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 46%
Trend 45%
Liquidity 85%
Market Quality 89%
Risk Control 87%
Relative Strength 49%
Trend Acceleration 3%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 92%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT ADA Decision #3
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.800
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.799588
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 40%
Trend 38%
Liquidity 91%
Market Quality 91%
Risk Control 85%
Relative Strength 43%
Trend Acceleration 4%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
No factor audit was recorded for this engine generation.
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.