VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #143 Competition C115 Portfolio Engine v5.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Weekly Top Picks #2026-W32

Strategy: cmc_v4_weekly_long_short
Submitted: 2026-07-20 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-5.0282%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.832
Optimizer
0.832
Portfolio Quality
0.894
Portfolio Risk
0.646
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.831870
Correlation Score
0.205858
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.831870

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Quant Engine
Engine Version
v5.0
Engine Build
2026.07.04
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-07-20 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG KAITO Decision #1
Sector: Ai · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.693
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.693163
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Strong trend
✓ High liquidity
Negative Evidence
! Weak risk profile
Momentum 100%
Trend 94%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 36%
Risk Control 31%
Relative Strength 100%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation 35%
Sector Strength 36%
Supply Quality 24%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG AAVE Decision #2
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.668
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.667830
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 51%
Trend 51%
Liquidity 88%
Market Quality 83%
Risk Control 90%
Relative Strength 52%
Trend Acceleration 58%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 96%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT BONK Decision #3
Sector: Layer2 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.741
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.741036
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
! Risk sector tags
Momentum 23%
Trend 23%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 60%
Risk Control 72%
Relative Strength 24%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation 32%
Sector Strength 31%
Supply Quality 99%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.491 0.111 – 0.982 1.0000 3
Depth 0.539 0.179 – 0.886 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.464 0.084 – 0.954 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.962 0.885 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.682 0.682 – 0.682 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.181 0.181 – 0.181 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.596 0.361 – 0.827 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.583 0.235 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.238 0.034 – 0.613 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.587 0.245 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.646 0.313 – 0.904 1.0000 3
Sector Rotation 0.421 0.320 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.386 0.306 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.732 0.241 – 0.990 1.0000 3
Trend 0.557 0.226 – 0.940 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.193 0.000 – 0.578 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.