VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #141 Competition C113 Portfolio Engine v5.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260721

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-07-19 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-23.5571%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.840
Optimizer
0.840
Portfolio Quality
0.922
Portfolio Risk
0.740
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.840201
Correlation Score
0.177858
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.840201

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Quant Engine
Engine Version
v5.0
Engine Build
2026.07.04
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-07-19 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG DEXE Decision #1
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Medium · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.656
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.656282
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 94%
Trend 68%
Liquidity 36%
Market Quality 58%
Risk Control 64%
Relative Strength 82%
Trend Acceleration 4%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG AAVE Decision #2
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.632
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.631900
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 51%
Trend 50%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 86%
Risk Control 91%
Relative Strength 51%
Trend Acceleration 49%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 96%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT BONK Decision #3
Sector: Layer2 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.756
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.756058
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
! Risk sector tags
Momentum 19%
Trend 18%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 60%
Risk Control 68%
Relative Strength 19%
Trend Acceleration 31%
Sector Rotation 32%
Sector Strength 31%
Supply Quality 99%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.282 0.105 – 0.384 1.0000 3
Depth 0.520 0.121 – 0.886 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.260 0.083 – 0.361 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.787 0.361 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.684 0.684 – 0.684 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.178 0.178 – 0.178 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.680 0.582 – 0.856 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.548 0.195 – 0.941 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.300 0.200 – 0.500 1.0000 3
Rank 0.493 0.076 – 0.790 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.504 0.189 – 0.817 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.740 0.636 – 0.908 1.0000 3
Sector Rotation 0.503 0.320 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.430 0.306 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.940 0.868 – 0.990 1.0000 3
Trend 0.455 0.183 – 0.681 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.278 0.035 – 0.494 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
DEXE · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Pump Guard
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -83.4938%
Attribution Confidence: 70%
AAVE · LONG WIN
Primary Cause: Winning Setup
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: +6.9034%
Attribution Confidence: 35%
BONK · SHORT WIN
Primary Cause: Winning Setup
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: +5.9190%
Attribution Confidence: 35%
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.