VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.

Portfolio #84 Competition C88 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED

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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260630

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short

Submitted: 2026-06-28 02:27:42

Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01

Final Rank

Rank reflects relative competition performance.

Final Score

-1.6945%

Engine Status

LIVE

Payout

No payout recorded

Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime

Neutral

Macro Regime

Neutral

Breadth

Weak

Confidence

Very High

Expected Alpha

0.829

Optimizer

0.829

Portfolio Quality

0.917

Portfolio Risk

0.723

Balance

1.000

Diversification

1.000

Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory

Not recorded

Memory Adjustment

Not recorded

Expected Alpha

0.829007

Correlation Score

0.275217

Correlation Penalty

0.000000

Final Optimizer Score

0.829007

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family

Hedge Fund Engine

Engine Version

v4.7

Engine Build

2026.06.16

Engine Mode

Long/Short Expected Alpha

Generated

2026-06-28 02:27:42

Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.

3 picks

LONG AAVE Decision #1

Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

0.696

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

Not recorded

Exhaustion Penalty

Not recorded

After Exhaustion

Not recorded

Crash Guard Penalty

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

0.695951

LONG Candidate Blocked

Not recorded

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: 98

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

✓ High liquidity

✓ High market quality

✓ Controlled risk

✓ Positive sector tags

Negative Evidence

No negative factors recorded.

Momentum 57%

Trend 55%

Liquidity 100%

Market Quality 86%

Risk Control 87%

Relative Strength 61%

Trend Acceleration 90%

Sector Rotation 60%

Sector Strength 49%

Supply Quality 96%

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

LONG DEXE Decision #2

Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

0.662

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)

Raw LONG Score

Not recorded

Exhaustion Penalty

Not recorded

After Exhaustion

Not recorded

Crash Guard Penalty

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

0.661758

LONG Candidate Blocked

Not recorded

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: 97

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

✓ Strong momentum

✓ Strong trend

✓ Positive sector tags

Negative Evidence

! Low liquidity

Momentum 96%

Trend 95%

Liquidity 9%

Market Quality 49%

Risk Control 57%

Relative Strength 89%

Trend Acceleration 0%

Sector Rotation 60%

Sector Strength 49%

Supply Quality 87%

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

SHORT ADA Decision #3

Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Not recorded · Crash risk: Not recorded

Decision Score

Not recorded

Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.


                                            SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)

Raw SHORT Score

Not recorded

Rebound Penalty

Not recorded

After Rebound

Not recorded

Final Selection Score

Not recorded

Confidence Calibration

Raw Confidence: Not recorded

Confidence Cap: Not recorded

Final Confidence Index: Not recorded

Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence

Not recorded for this engine generation.

Negative Evidence

No negative factors recorded.

Momentum —

Trend —

Liquidity —

Market Quality —

Risk Control —

Relative Strength —

Trend Acceleration —

Sector Rotation —

Sector Strength —

Supply Quality —

Mean Reversion Risk —

Momentum Exhaustion —

Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.

Factor	Average	Range	Weight	Records
Breadth	0.181	0.181 – 0.181	1.0000	3
Btc Relative Strength	0.739	0.378 – 1.000	1.0000	3
Depth	0.483	0.114 – 0.883	1.0000	3
Eth Relative Strength	0.763	0.414 – 1.000	1.0000	3
Liquidity	0.689	0.094 – 1.000	1.0000	3
Macro Btc Dominance	0.668	0.668 – 0.668	1.0000	3
Macro Eth Dominance	0.121	0.121 – 0.121	1.0000	3
Macro Fear Greed	0.000	0.000 – 0.000	1.0000	3
Market Quality	0.691	0.493 – 0.863	1.0000	3
Momentum	0.616	0.322 – 0.955	1.0000	3
Rank	0.641	0.563 – 0.723	1.0000	3
Relative Strength	0.610	0.326 – 0.892	1.0000	3
Risk Control	0.723	0.566 – 0.867	1.0000	3
Sector Rotation	0.511	0.344 – 0.595	1.0000	3
Supply Quality	0.944	0.868 – 1.000	1.0000	3
Trend	0.607	0.317 – 0.953	1.0000	3
Trend Acceleration	0.552	0.000 – 0.903	1.0000	3

Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.

No attribution record available for this engine generation.

Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.