VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #77 Competition C80 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260623

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-06-22 23:00:01
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#2
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
-4.3623%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Not recorded
Breadth
Not recorded
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.836
Optimizer
0.836
Portfolio Quality
0.904
Portfolio Risk
0.681
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.836161
Correlation Score
0.225233
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.836161

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Hedge Fund Engine
Engine Version
v4.7
Engine Build
2026.06.16
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-06-22 23:00:01
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG WLD Decision #1
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.762
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.761922
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 92%
Trend 74%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 68%
Risk Control 63%
Relative Strength 83%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 35%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG AERO Decision #2
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.672
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.671563
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 98
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 74%
Trend 76%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 54%
Risk Control 57%
Relative Strength 74%
Trend Acceleration 4%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 50%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT ADA Decision #3
Sector: Not recorded · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.695
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.694520
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 96
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
Not recorded for this engine generation.
Negative Evidence
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 33%
Trend 32%
Liquidity 54%
Market Quality 82%
Risk Control 85%
Relative Strength 34%
Trend Acceleration 30%
Sector Rotation —
Sector Strength —
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
No factor audit was recorded for this engine generation.
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
WLD · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -12.0081%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
AERO · LONG LOSS
Primary Cause: Mixed
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: -5.0687%
Attribution Confidence: 30%
ADA · SHORT WIN
Primary Cause: Winning Setup
Secondary Cause: No secondary cause identified
Position Return: +3.9900%
Attribution Confidence: 35%
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.