VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #212 Competition C183 Portfolio Engine v5.6.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260918

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-09-16 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-09-19 00:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
13.4986%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
High
Expected Alpha
0.821
Optimizer
0.821
Portfolio Quality
0.925
Portfolio Risk
0.751
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
0.823194
Memory Adjustment
-0.002667
Expected Alpha
0.820527
Correlation Score
0.506900
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.820527

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Decision Intelligence™
Engine Version
v5.6.0
Engine Build
2026.07.25
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-09-16 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG UNI Decision #1
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.808
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.807798
Exhaustion Penalty
0.000000
After Exhaustion
0.807798
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.807798
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 90
Final Confidence Index: 90
Calibration Samples: 47

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.792657 0.792657 0.230033814
Trend 0.199454 0.695300 0.695300 0.134520153
Liquidity 0.142410 1.000000 1.000000 0.138138054
Market Quality 0.079750 0.900877 0.900877 0.069689422
Risk Control 0.079750 0.736806 0.736806 0.056997330
Rank 0.059836 0.823529 0.823529 0.047798611
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.725043 0.725043 0.042082365
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 1.000000 1.000000 0.077388266
Factor Total: 0.796648016
Macro Contribution: 0.011150310
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.807798
Historical Raw Score: 0.807798

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 79%
Trend 70%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 90%
Risk Control 74%
Relative Strength 73%
Trend Acceleration 100%
Sector Rotation 47%
Sector Strength 38%
Supply Quality 70%
Mean Reversion Risk 27%
Momentum Exhaustion 39%
LONG ARB Decision #2
Sector: Layer2 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.798
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.798216
Exhaustion Penalty
0.000000
After Exhaustion
0.798216
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.798216
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 90
Final Confidence Index: 90
Calibration Samples: 47

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.868550 0.868550 0.252058418
Trend 0.199454 0.773367 0.773367 0.149623827
Liquidity 0.142410 1.000000 1.000000 0.138138054
Market Quality 0.079750 0.752094 0.752094 0.058179969
Risk Control 0.079750 0.605927 0.605927 0.046872883
Rank 0.059836 0.521008 0.521008 0.030239929
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.848850 0.848850 0.049268272
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 0.810000 0.810000 0.062684495
Factor Total: 0.787065848
Macro Contribution: 0.011150310
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.798216
Historical Raw Score: 0.798216

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Strong trend
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 87%
Trend 77%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 75%
Risk Control 61%
Relative Strength 85%
Trend Acceleration 81%
Sector Rotation 68%
Sector Strength 66%
Supply Quality 67%
Mean Reversion Risk 33%
Momentum Exhaustion 49%
SHORT PAXG Decision #3
Sector: Rwa · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.645
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
0.644549
Rebound Penalty
0.000000
After Rebound
0.644549
Final Selection Score
0.644549
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 90
Final Confidence Index: 90
Calibration Samples: 47

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum (inverted) 0.299181 0.494684 0.505316 0.151181168
Trend (inverted) 0.199454 0.497876 0.502124 0.100150787
Liquidity 0.142410 0.972071 0.972071 0.138432986
Market Quality 0.079750 0.753486 0.753486 0.060090361
Risk Control 0.079750 0.911338 0.911338 0.072679027
Rank 0.059836 0.680672 0.680672 0.040728886
Relative Strength (inverted) 0.059836 0.484864 0.515136 0.030823826
Trend Acceleration (inverted) 0.079782 0.367500 0.632500 0.050461936
Factor Total: 0.644548978
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.644549
Historical Raw Score: 0.644549

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 49%
Trend 50%
Liquidity 97%
Market Quality 75%
Risk Control 91%
Relative Strength 48%
Trend Acceleration 37%
Sector Rotation 42%
Sector Strength 40%
Supply Quality 100%
Mean Reversion Risk 35%
Momentum Exhaustion 41%
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.369 0.369 – 0.369 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.481 0.443 – 0.524 1.0000 3
Depth 0.718 0.281 – 0.995 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.479 0.440 – 0.521 1.0000 3
Extension 0.028 0.000 – 0.058 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.991 0.972 – 1.000 1.0200 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.690 0.690 – 0.690 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.245 0.245 – 0.245 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.802 0.752 – 0.901 0.9996 3
Mean Reversion Risk 0.317 0.271 – 0.355 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.719 0.495 – 0.869 1.0000 3
Momentum Exhaustion 0.429 0.390 – 0.485 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.675 0.521 – 0.824 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.686 0.485 – 0.849 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.751 0.606 – 0.911 0.9996 3
Sector Rotation 0.520 0.417 – 0.675 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.479 0.377 – 0.664 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.789 0.668 – 1.000 1.0200 3
Trend 0.656 0.498 – 0.773 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.726 0.368 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.