VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #160 Competition C131 Portfolio Engine v5.6.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260805

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-08-03 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
2.0280%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
High
Expected Alpha
0.817
Optimizer
0.817
Portfolio Quality
0.939
Portfolio Risk
0.797
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
0.824020
Memory Adjustment
-0.006667
Expected Alpha
0.817353
Correlation Score
0.302458
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.817353

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Decision Intelligence™
Engine Version
v5.6.0
Engine Build
2026.07.25
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-08-03 00:05:01
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG ADA Decision #1
Sector: Layer1 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.667
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.666933
Exhaustion Penalty
0.000000
After Exhaustion
0.666933
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.666933
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.585707 0.585707 0.169975684
Trend 0.199454 0.573508 0.573508 0.110956974
Liquidity 0.142410 0.993376 0.993376 0.137223028
Market Quality 0.079750 0.939789 0.939789 0.072699549
Risk Control 0.079750 0.803720 0.803720 0.062173618
Rank 0.059836 0.899160 0.899160 0.052188325
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.641114 0.641114 0.037211025
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 0.180250 0.180250 0.013949235
Factor Total: 0.656377437
Macro Contribution: 0.010556070
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.666934
Historical Raw Score: 0.666933

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 59%
Trend 57%
Liquidity 99%
Market Quality 94%
Risk Control 80%
Relative Strength 64%
Trend Acceleration 18%
Sector Rotation 31%
Sector Strength 32%
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk 34%
Momentum Exhaustion 43%
LONG UNI Decision #2
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.632
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.644582
Exhaustion Penalty
0.012561
After Exhaustion
0.632021
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.632021
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.662999 0.662999 0.192406285
Trend 0.199454 0.671630 0.671630 0.129940702
Liquidity 0.142410 0.758951 0.758951 0.104840014
Market Quality 0.079750 0.817692 0.817692 0.063254454
Risk Control 0.079750 0.806310 0.806310 0.062373973
Rank 0.059836 0.756303 0.756303 0.043896733
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.642886 0.642886 0.037313874
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000000
Factor Total: 0.634026036
Macro Contribution: 0.010556070
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.644582
Historical Raw Score: 0.644582

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 66%
Trend 67%
Liquidity 76%
Market Quality 82%
Risk Control 81%
Relative Strength 64%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 70%
Mean Reversion Risk 39%
Momentum Exhaustion 48%
SHORT DEXE Decision #3
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Medium
Decision Score
0.840
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
0.840037
Rebound Penalty
0.000000
After Rebound
0.840037
Final Selection Score
0.840037
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum (inverted) 0.299181 0.043301 0.956699 0.286226584
Trend (inverted) 0.199454 0.138413 0.861587 0.171847226
Liquidity 0.142410 1.000000 1.000000 0.142410365
Market Quality 0.079750 0.507483 0.507483 0.040471670
Risk Control 0.079750 0.780962 0.780962 0.062281567
Rank 0.059836 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000000
Relative Strength (inverted) 0.059836 0.047093 0.952907 0.057018418
Trend Acceleration (inverted) 0.079782 0.000000 1.000000 0.079781717
Factor Total: 0.840037547
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.840038
Historical Raw Score: 0.840037

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Elevated downside risk
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 4%
Trend 14%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 51%
Risk Control 78%
Relative Strength 5%
Trend Acceleration 0%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk 35%
Momentum Exhaustion 26%
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.476 0.083 – 0.713 1.0000 3
Depth 0.706 0.137 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.487 0.094 – 0.724 1.0000 3
Extension 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.917 0.759 – 1.000 1.0200 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.675 0.675 – 0.675 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.192 0.192 – 0.192 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.755 0.507 – 0.940 0.9996 3
Mean Reversion Risk 0.362 0.343 – 0.392 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.431 0.043 – 0.663 1.0000 3
Momentum Exhaustion 0.388 0.259 – 0.479 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.552 0.000 – 0.899 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.444 0.047 – 0.643 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.797 0.781 – 0.806 0.9996 3
Sector Rotation 0.499 0.306 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.436 0.322 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.793 0.700 – 0.868 1.0200 3
Trend 0.461 0.138 – 0.672 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.060 0.000 – 0.180 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.