VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #158 Competition C129 Portfolio Engine v5.6.0 LIVE
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Research Identity

VDX Monthly Top Picks #2026-10

Strategy: cmc_v4_monthly_long_short
Submitted: 2026-08-01 00:05:02
Scored: Not recorded
Final Rank
Not recorded
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
Not recorded
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
High
Expected Alpha
0.811
Optimizer
0.787
Portfolio Quality
0.955
Portfolio Risk
0.850
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
0.810464
Memory Adjustment
0.000667
Expected Alpha
0.811131
Correlation Score
0.604083
Correlation Penalty
0.024338
Final Optimizer Score
0.786793

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Decision Intelligence™
Engine Version
v5.6.0
Engine Build
2026.07.25
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-08-01 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG UNI Decision #1
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.793
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.793101
Exhaustion Penalty
0.000000
After Exhaustion
0.793101
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.793101
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Strong trend
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 73%
Trend 72%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 88%
Risk Control 80%
Relative Strength 73%
Trend Acceleration 63%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 70%
Mean Reversion Risk 34%
Momentum Exhaustion 42%
LONG NEAR Decision #2
Sector: Layer1 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.676
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.679894
Exhaustion Penalty
0.004327
After Exhaustion
0.675566
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.675566
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 97
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 43%
Trend 44%
Liquidity 90%
Market Quality 78%
Risk Control 89%
Relative Strength 43%
Trend Acceleration 49%
Sector Rotation 31%
Sector Strength 32%
Supply Quality 100%
Mean Reversion Risk 37%
Momentum Exhaustion 35%
SHORT ADA Decision #3
Sector: Layer1 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.701
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
0.700901
Rebound Penalty
0.000000
After Rebound
0.700901
Final Selection Score
0.700901
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 97
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 48%
Trend 45%
Liquidity 52%
Market Quality 82%
Risk Control 87%
Relative Strength 53%
Trend Acceleration 46%
Sector Rotation 31%
Sector Strength 32%
Supply Quality 81%
Mean Reversion Risk 35%
Momentum Exhaustion 33%
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.565 0.424 – 0.715 1.0000 3
Depth 0.805 0.435 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.539 0.398 – 0.689 1.0000 3
Extension 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.806 0.521 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.674 0.674 – 0.674 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.191 0.191 – 0.191 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.827 0.781 – 0.880 0.9800 3
Mean Reversion Risk 0.354 0.341 – 0.374 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.547 0.434 – 0.726 1.0000 3
Momentum Exhaustion 0.367 0.331 – 0.420 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.796 0.731 – 0.891 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.563 0.432 – 0.726 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.850 0.796 – 0.887 0.9800 3
Sector Rotation 0.402 0.306 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.379 0.322 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.837 0.700 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Trend 0.538 0.440 – 0.720 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.528 0.460 – 0.634 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.