VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #155 Competition C126 Portfolio Engine v5.6.0 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260801

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-07-30 00:05:01
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
0.9459%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
High
Expected Alpha
0.827
Optimizer
0.827
Portfolio Quality
0.947
Portfolio Risk
0.824
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
0.833841
Memory Adjustment
-0.006667
Expected Alpha
0.827175
Correlation Score
0.346167
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.827175

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Adaptive Decision Intelligence™
Engine Version
v5.6.0
Engine Build
2026.07.25
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-07-30 00:05:01
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG UNI Decision #1
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.759
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.759027
Exhaustion Penalty
0.000000
After Exhaustion
0.759027
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.759027
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.662201 0.662201 0.192174701
Trend 0.199454 0.663346 0.663346 0.128337991
Liquidity 0.142410 1.000000 1.000000 0.138138054
Market Quality 0.079750 0.875190 0.875190 0.067702344
Risk Control 0.079750 0.814762 0.814762 0.063027797
Rank 0.059836 0.747899 0.747899 0.043408955
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.657671 0.657671 0.038172014
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 1.000000 1.000000 0.077388266
Factor Total: 0.748350122
Macro Contribution: 0.010676670
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.759027
Historical Raw Score: 0.759027

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 66%
Trend 66%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 88%
Risk Control 81%
Relative Strength 66%
Trend Acceleration 100%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 70%
Mean Reversion Risk 30%
Momentum Exhaustion 33%
LONG PAXG Decision #2
Sector: Rwa · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Low
Decision Score
0.623
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
0.635265
Exhaustion Penalty
0.012528
After Exhaustion
0.622738
Crash Guard Penalty
0.000000
Final Selection Score
0.622738
LONG Candidate Blocked
No
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 97
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum 0.299181 0.495716 0.495716 0.143859756
Trend 0.199454 0.489159 0.489159 0.094637917
Liquidity 0.142410 0.947879 0.947879 0.130938161
Market Quality 0.079750 0.753268 0.753268 0.058270786
Risk Control 0.079750 0.898323 0.898323 0.069491851
Rank 0.059836 0.705882 0.705882 0.040970238
Relative Strength 0.059836 0.512279 0.512279 0.029733288
Trend Acceleration 0.079782 0.732500 0.732500 0.056686905
Factor Total: 0.624588901
Macro Contribution: 0.010676670
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.635266
Historical Raw Score: 0.635265

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 50%
Trend 49%
Liquidity 95%
Market Quality 75%
Risk Control 90%
Relative Strength 51%
Trend Acceleration 73%
Sector Rotation 38%
Sector Strength 40%
Supply Quality 100%
Mean Reversion Risk 39%
Momentum Exhaustion 36%
SHORT DEXE Decision #3
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Medium
Decision Score
0.842
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
0.842296
Rebound Penalty
0.000000
After Rebound
0.842296
Final Selection Score
0.842296
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: 99
Confidence Cap: 85
Final Confidence Index: 85
Calibration Samples: 0

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Historical factor weights and score inputs. SHORT reverses momentum, trend, relative strength and trend acceleration.

Factor Weight Input Effective Contribution
Momentum (inverted) 0.299181 0.042089 0.957911 0.286589192
Trend (inverted) 0.199454 0.128854 0.871146 0.173753810
Liquidity 0.142410 1.000000 1.000000 0.142410365
Market Quality 0.079750 0.529906 0.529906 0.042259900
Risk Control 0.079750 0.760223 0.760223 0.060627636
Rank 0.059836 0.075630 0.075630 0.004525418
Relative Strength (inverted) 0.059836 0.038157 0.961843 0.057553115
Trend Acceleration (inverted) 0.079782 0.065250 0.934750 0.074575960
Factor Total: 0.842295396
Reconstructed Raw Score: 0.842295
Historical Raw Score: 0.842296

Verified within 0.000002 rounding tolerance. Bars are relative to the largest contribution. AI scores do not represent financial returns.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Elevated downside risk
! Weak momentum
! Weak trend
Momentum 4%
Trend 13%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 53%
Risk Control 76%
Relative Strength 4%
Trend Acceleration 7%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk 35%
Momentum Exhaustion 25%
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.410 0.083 – 0.617 1.0000 3
Depth 0.462 0.135 – 0.979 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.390 0.063 – 0.597 1.0000 3
Extension 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.983 0.948 – 1.000 1.0200 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.681 0.681 – 0.681 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.197 0.197 – 0.197 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.719 0.530 – 0.875 0.9996 3
Mean Reversion Risk 0.347 0.302 – 0.392 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.400 0.042 – 0.662 1.0000 3
Momentum Exhaustion 0.314 0.247 – 0.364 1.0000 3
Pump Risk 0.200 0.200 – 0.200 1.0000 3
Rank 0.510 0.076 – 0.748 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.403 0.038 – 0.658 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.824 0.760 – 0.898 0.9996 3
Sector Rotation 0.523 0.380 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Sector Strength 0.461 0.397 – 0.492 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.856 0.701 – 1.000 1.0200 3
Trend 0.427 0.129 – 0.663 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.599 0.065 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.