VADIE™ Research Archive

Historical Decision Report

Official autonomous portfolio evidence retained from the VisionX AI competition record.
Portfolio #119 Competition C95 Portfolio Engine v4.7 SETTLED
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Research Identity

VDX Daily Top Picks #20260705

Strategy: cmc_v4_daily_long_short
Submitted: 2026-07-03 00:05:02
Scored: 2026-08-17 02:10:01
Final Rank
#1
Rank reflects relative competition performance.
Final Score
2.8805%
Engine Status
LIVE
Payout
No payout recorded
Portfolio Environment

Decision Context

Market Regime
Neutral
Macro Regime
Neutral
Breadth
Weak
Confidence
Very High
Expected Alpha
0.836
Optimizer
0.836
Portfolio Quality
0.950
Portfolio Risk
0.833
Balance
1.000
Diversification
1.000
Decision Mathematics

Historical VADIE portfolio optimization. Values are taken from the original AI decision record.

Expected Alpha = clamp(Before Memory + Memory Adjustment, 0, 1)

Alpha Before Memory
Not recorded
Memory Adjustment
Not recorded
Expected Alpha
0.836484
Correlation Score
0.292933
Correlation Penalty
0.000000
Final Optimizer Score
0.836484

Optimizer Score = clamp(Expected Alpha - Correlation Penalty, 0, 1)

Scores are normalized AI selection metrics, not predictions of financial returns. Risk Control measures risk-management quality; higher values do not necessarily mean higher risk.

Engine Provenance

Generation Record

Engine Family
Hedge Fund Engine
Engine Version
v4.7
Engine Build
2026.06.16
Engine Mode
Long/Short Expected Alpha
Generated
2026-07-03 00:05:02
Historical Portfolio

Autonomous Decisions

Decision evidence exactly as retained when this portfolio was generated.
3 picks
LONG SOL Decision #1
Sector: Layer1 · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.690
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.689955
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 61%
Trend 60%
Liquidity 90%
Market Quality 90%
Risk Control 87%
Relative Strength 65%
Trend Acceleration 46%
Sector Rotation 31%
Sector Strength 32%
Supply Quality 92%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
LONG DEXE Decision #2
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.617
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

LONG = clamp(raw - exhaustion - crash, 0, 1)
Raw LONG Score
Not recorded
Exhaustion Penalty
Not recorded
After Exhaustion
Not recorded
Crash Guard Penalty
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.616694
LONG Candidate Blocked
Not recorded
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 94
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ Strong momentum
✓ Strong trend
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
! Low liquidity
Momentum 78%
Trend 73%
Liquidity 11%
Market Quality 49%
Risk Control 81%
Relative Strength 59%
Trend Acceleration 59%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 87%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
SHORT FTM Decision #3
Sector: Defi · Pump risk: Low · Crash risk: Not recorded
Decision Score
0.697
Decision Score Mathematics

Historical scoring components retained at the time of this AI decision.

SHORT = clamp(raw - rebound, 0, 1)
Raw SHORT Score
Not recorded
Rebound Penalty
Not recorded
After Rebound
Not recorded
Final Selection Score
0.697213
Confidence Calibration
Raw Confidence: Not recorded
Confidence Cap: Not recorded
Final Confidence Index: 99
Calibration Samples: Not recorded

Historical components are stored at rounded precision. Recalculations may differ by a small rounding amount. Confidence is an internal AI index, not a probability of profit.

Factor Contribution Mathematics

Factor reconstruction unavailable: historical inputs are incomplete, incompatible or fail integrity validation. No missing values were inferred.

Positive Evidence
✓ High liquidity
✓ High market quality
✓ Controlled risk
✓ Positive sector tags
Negative Evidence
No negative factors recorded.
Momentum 37%
Trend 38%
Liquidity 100%
Market Quality 73%
Risk Control 82%
Relative Strength 32%
Trend Acceleration 39%
Sector Rotation 60%
Sector Strength 49%
Supply Quality 88%
Mean Reversion Risk —
Momentum Exhaustion —
Learning Audit

Factor Intelligence

Portfolio-level audit summary. Each observation represents one stored pick-factor result.
Factor Average Range Weight Records
Breadth 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Btc Relative Strength 0.575 0.494 – 0.717 1.0000 3
Depth 0.458 0.114 – 0.761 1.0000 3
Eth Relative Strength 0.509 0.428 – 0.652 1.0000 3
Liquidity 0.669 0.110 – 1.000 1.0000 3
Macro Btc Dominance 0.660 0.660 – 0.660 1.0000 3
Macro Eth Dominance 0.148 0.148 – 0.148 1.0000 3
Macro Fear Greed 0.000 0.000 – 0.000 1.0000 3
Market Quality 0.708 0.492 – 0.899 1.0000 3
Momentum 0.584 0.366 – 0.781 1.0000 3
Rank 0.717 0.496 – 0.950 1.0000 3
Relative Strength 0.518 0.318 – 0.650 1.0000 3
Risk Control 0.833 0.810 – 0.872 1.0000 3
Sector Rotation 0.499 0.306 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Supply Quality 0.891 0.868 – 0.923 1.0000 3
Trend 0.571 0.383 – 0.732 1.0000 3
Trend Acceleration 0.479 0.387 – 0.595 1.0000 3
Outcome Intelligence

Failure Attribution

Post-competition attribution retained by the learning engine.
No attribution record available for this engine generation.
Research output only. This report displays historical metadata retained at portfolio generation and official competition outcome data. Missing information is not reconstructed retroactively.